China News, December 6th According to foreign media reports, British Prime Minister Teresa May's Brexit plan was severely criticized by allies and opponents on the 5th, after the British government was forced to announce legal advice, the UK may Will remain in the EU's customs union indefinitely.
It is reported that after Teresa May suffered a series of defeats in the parliament, the US investment bank JP Morgan Chase said that the possibility of the UK's cancellation of Brexit increased.
It is reported that the British Parliament forced Teresa May to publish the legal advice of the British Attorney General on safeguard arrangements. The safeguards arrangement is a measure to prevent the resumption of a hard border between Northern Ireland and Ireland when the UK and the EU fail to reach an agreement on future trade relations in a timely manner.
The legal proposal states: Although the agreement statement indicates that there is no intention to permanently implement safeguards, and the parties clearly believe that they should be replaced by other permanent arrangements, in international law, the agreement will be infinite before the alternative agreement is in place. The period exists.
It is reported that Teresa May is trying to get the parliament to agree to her agreement. Some senior ministers are worried that she will suffer a fiasco and call on Teresa May to postpone the key parliamentary vote scheduled for December 11.
The senior EU diplomat said that before Teresa May tried again to get the parliament's consent, the EU might be able to help her make minor adjustments to the draft agreement.
Nigel Dodds, deputy party leader of the Northern Ireland Party Democratic Alliance (DUP), confirmed that the party will vote against the next week's parliamentary vote, but DUP will continue to support the Teresa May government.
On the 4th, a judge of the European Court of Justice stated that the United Kingdom could withdraw its official notice of intention to return.
In a report to clients, Morgan Chase analyst Malcolm Barr, the UK can now choose to unilaterally withdraw the notice. He believes that the probability of no agreement to leave the EU is 10%, the probability of orderly retreat is 50%, which is lower than the previous expectations of 20% and 60%, respectively, and the possibility of not returning to Europe is raised from 20% to 40%. .
Treza May warned that if the parliament vetoed her exit agreement with the EU, the UK might leave the EU without an agreement or could not leave the country at all.
In the June 23, 2016 referendum, 52% of voters supported the Brexit and 48% of voters supported the stay in the EU.
Although Teresa May's Conservative Party and the main opposition Labour Party have expressed respect for the results of the 2016 referendum, more and more lawmakers said that the only solution might be to hold a new referendum to provide voters with The option to stay in the EU.
If the Brexit Agreement is rejected, some members of the two major political parties in the UK say they will take steps to prevent the UK from leaving the EU without an agreement. Corporate executives and investors worry that a non-agreement to leave the European Union will weaken Britain's strength, impact financial markets and hinder trade.